Every Market expert advices to!

03 Jun 2012

You buy and price falls,you sell and price rises.

Its a common investor problem.Doesi t always happen with you?…Then read.

Stock market,Investing.

One say’s “I bought “XYZ Company” at Rs.2200 and immediately after I bought the stock price dropped to Rs.2000.” I feel sad. Another comes with a different version “I sold “XYZ Company” at Rs.2000 and it went up to Rs.2400 same evening” I made an imaginary loss of Rs.400 per share.

Solution:

You can buy more shares @ Rs.2000 and reduce your overall buying cost. This has to be done only if believe in the fundamentals,management and the future prospects of the company.

To do this you need to keep money ready.whatever money you have and want to invest,split it into two parts. Then keep 50% cash aside, only invest with other 50%.So if need to buy more of any stock when the price falls you have ready cash.

Also now if you have 200 shares of XYZ Company 100@Rs.2200 and 100@Rs.2000.Then the price goes up to Rs.2400. Sell only 100 of the shares.Then if the price further shot up, you have some shares to sell And participate in the rally to make money.

Next You sold the share and the price went up. The solutoion to this is never sell all the shares at one time.Sell only 50% of your shares.So if he price goes up later you still have the other 50% to sell and make profit.

The golden Rule is to first do your own analysis of the stock before investing and buy on tips. Also invest only in companies which declare dividends every year. To be sure that you are not investing in loss making companies.

Every Market expert advices to do your stock analysis before investind in the stock market.

But nobody tells you how.

Well in my next article I will write about how to do stock anaysis using various tools such as financial ratios and by checking the track records of the comapnies you plan to invest in.

P.S: If you are not Indian then replace the Rs. into your own local curreny to understand the artilce :)

I should take profits now even though it may go higher’ when greed sets in.

03 Jun 2012

Title:

Your Sure Way to Lasting Success in Trading

Word Count:

780

Summary:

Trading the markets is not only about using the right system or strategy or knowledge used but also a factor that only individual can control which will determine if he or she is will be successful.

Keywords:

Article Body:

Why is it that some people are successful in trading the markets? And why is it some people fail? Is it luck that determines if you are successful or not in making money from the market?

Is it the system or strategy that a person use which determines their success?

A lot would say that it is the system or strategy that they employ which ultimately determines if they come out winning from the market.

Every system that exists on the internet will show you how to make money using it. Without a doubt, it will make money for you. The question is usually how much money will the system make for you.

All the system that out there will show to you how their system has work base on historical data or activity and then at the bottom of the page there would be a disclaimer clause that states ‘.. Historical data does not determine or guarantee future earnings….’

So why is it that these sites or page include this disclaimer clause?

The disclaimer clause is incorporated in it because they know that there are certain elements which they can not control. Human emotions.

Human emotions are always the key to either success or failure in any business. And it is no difference when trading the markets. Read all the books about trading that you want, buy all the successful system that you want.

If you can’t control your emotions, you can’t succeed in the markets.

That’s the reason for the disclaimers clause because the one thing that the author can not control is their subscribers or customers emotions.

In the market there are but only two main emotions that every trader will experience; GREED and FEAR. When this emotion appears it is not how we eliminate it but rather how we act on it. There are natural emotions that can not be eliminated.

This emotions forces us to action, thus how we act on it will determine the outcome.

Like anger, when we are angry at someone, it’s either we say something nasty or we can just kick a bucket or we can just dive into a pool of water. Which ever action that we take, it produces a different outcome or result.

All too often when we begin to see two to three consecutive loses on our trading activities, we would begin to have doubt. When this happens we are already at the state of fear, we fear losing more of our money and thus begin to doubt that the system is working.

While no system is absolute, meaning no system will guarantee that you will make money ALL the time. The system seller would say that we would be able to make money consistently, provided we follow their system to the dot.

On the other hand, when we begin to see two or three consecutive we begin to feel on top of the world. We begin to feel that we can start making good money from the market and then start tweaking the system or maybe putting more money in the market to leverage our earnings or maybe begin to take on more positions, which ultimately make us deviate from the system which we were using. This is when greed has already stepped in to rule our thoughts.

There is saying ‘The system is only as good as the person using it’. So if we don’t follow the system either with we are making loses or when we are creating profits. We would ultimately fail.

And to follow the system requires discipline. The discipline to act on our fear and greed when it sets in, will determine how well we do in the market.

Once again discipline is the key. We must have the discipline to say ‘I have reached my target. I should take profits now even though it may go higher’ when greed sets in. And when fear sets in one should say ‘I have to take a position even though the market does not seem to be moving in my favor’

While these are but two circumstances when greed and fears arises, there are, and will be many instances when we need to make a decision to either enter or exit the market. And these are very two most important decisions to take in order to succeed in the markets. The discipline to follow the system diligently no matter what happens to the market

So no matter how good the system is, the only and sure way is to lasting success in the market depend on the discipline to overcome our personal emotional to follow a particular system religiously.

Tax loss selling has made many stocks to make the list.

03 Jun 2012

Title:

Your Prey for 2006

Word Count:

722

Summary:

Scouring the 52 week low is normally a good place to start. Tax loss selling has made many stocks to make the list. This is great for us, small investor.

Barring any fundamental news, cheap stocks that get cheaper will be a good investment candidate.

Keywords:

Finance, Stock, Investing, Annual Report, Portfolio

Article Body:

As 2005 comes to an end, investors celebrate the coming new year and bring new expectation with it. As investors, we try to sell our losing investment before the year ends and sell our winning investments after the new year. This is to receive the benefit of early tax deduction and deferring our tax liability.

Either way, after selling your investment, you have some spare cash to invest. Therefore, you would need some idea on where to invest your money.

Scouring the 52 week low is normally a good place to start. Tax loss selling has made many stocks to make the list. This is great for us, small investor. Barring any fundamental news, cheap stocks that get cheaper will be a good investment candidate.

Turnaround investors look for stocks that are touching 52 week low and starts researching them. Many of them bounces, providing investors with outstanding return. Examples for this year include: ATI Technologies Inc. (ATYT, up 39% from the low), Seagate Technology (STX, up 29% from the low), Omnivision Technologies (OVTI, up 68.8% from the low) and even Maxtor Corp. (MXO, up 45% from the low before being acquired).

Maxtor is now trading 120% above its 52 week low.

While stocks touching new 52 week low, do not always bounce, this is a good place to start your research. Therefore, your prey for 2006 should at least include companies that has recently touched 52 week low. These are several ideas to get you started for 2006.

Pier One Imports Inc. (PIR). The retail stores specializing on furniture and other decorative accessories, are experiencing customer defection this year. Same store sales has been declining and there is little indication that it will change. Warren Buffett used to own a piece of this company.

He has since cut back on his stake late this year. It has recently fallen to $ 8.90 per share from the 52 week high of $ 19.98, a 55 % hair cut.

Shanda Interactive Entertainment (SNDA). For overseas exposure, especially China, Shanda should be on your watch list. It provides online gaming to the Chinese community, especially Massively Multiplayer Online Role Playing Games (MMORPG). Don’t let the word scare you. It is basically an online gaming portal where it lets gamers fight/play with other gamers.

A good way to foster customer’s loyalty is through the interaction with other individuals. Online Gaming provides Shanda with that opportunity. It has fallen to $ 15.00 from its 52 week high of $ 45.40, a 67% hair cut. The appealing thing about Shanda is its strong balance sheet (more cash than long-term debt) and the potential growth of its market.

Furthermore, the company is profitable. Those cash pile will continue to grow if that happens.

Navistar International Corp. (NAV). This company makes and distributes commercial trucks and busses. Competitors include Paccar, Volvo and the like.

It is sporting a forward P/E of 6 and decent balance sheet. If it can maintain a 0% growth in profits, the stock price won’t trade at $ 28.80 for very long.

Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ). The largest baby bells of all are having a decent year on the profit line. However, concerns about competitions and high debt load, has reduced its stock price for year 2005. It is currently trading at $ 30.27 per share with dividend yield of 5.30%.

Currently, dividend is about half of its annual profit, which is considered safe. If Verizon can repeat its profit performance, the dividend for 2006 will be safe. However, it currently has a high debt load of $ 34.3 Billion. The company has tried to reduce its debt using its cash flow from operations. On Dec 31st 2002, long term debt stood at $ 44.8 Billion.

Therefore, balance sheet has actually improved while stock price goes nowhere.

Fresh Del Monte Produce Inc. (FDP). The makers and distributors of fresh fruit produce is not having a good year. Pricing weakness, combined with the higher than expected cost, has decimated its stock price. Recently, management has reportedly hire JP Morgan to run an auction for the company.

It can be sold to as high as $ 1.8 Billion according to TheDeal.com. This translates into $ 30.70 per share. FDP recently trade at $ 23.64 per share. If the deal goes through next year, you have the potential of a 29.9% return.

However, the fact that management is exploring the buyout, indicates that business aren’t so good at this company. If the deal doesn’t go through, stock price may see further depreciation.

They understand that they will!

03 Jun 2012

Title:

Winning Traders – What They Have In Common

Word Count:

830

Summary:

We often hear that 95% of people who try trading for a living fail within the first year. These are not very good odds and it is natural for new traders to wonder if they have what it takes. In this issue, I give you a list of 20 characteristics I believe could be found in most winners.

Keywords:

trading, investing, stock market, day trading

Article Body:

We often hear that 95% of people who try trading for a living fail within the first year. These are not very good odds and it is natural for new traders to wonder if they have what it takes. In this issue, I give you a list of 20 characteristics I believe could be found in most winners.

I also included some Truths about trading.

The methods employed by winning traders are extraordinarily diverse. Despite the broad spectrum of traders, certain characteristics are found in most winning traders (in no specific order):

– Winners have a trading plan with a strategy that incorporates effective money management. They have the discipline to execute their plan relatively flawlessly and the self esteem to accept the money the market gives them.

– They use their head and stay calm – they don’t get excited or depressed because of their trades. They don’t act on emotions. They can handle success and failure without self-destructing.

– They don’t trade to feel good or to get high.

– They handle trading as a serious intellectual pursuit.

– They always protect their capital because they know they cannot trade without it. This means that they don’t get caught up in the thrill of the moment, the excitement of a running stock – they don’t jump into careless trades.

– They love trading, trading is a passion and they spend a large portion of their time trading and learning about trading.

– They know that sometimes the best thing to do is to do nothing (sit on their hands). They do nothing unless there is something to do.

– They don’t pay attention to other people’s opinions, they make their own.

– They don’t try to guess the future – they know it is a game of probabilities. They understand that they will always have a percentage of losing trades but they keep the losses for those trades small. They don’t hesitate to get rid of a position when the loss is still small.

– They have a great respect for the markets and they never think taking money from it is easy.

– They behave like professionals. They take full responsibility for their actions and don’t look for something or someone to blame. Instead they use their losses as an opportunity to improve their plan.

– They trade to trade well, not for the money.

– While they are in a play, they don’t count how much money they have made or lost because they know this would influence their judgment. They focus on trading well.

– Amateurs keep thinking what trades to get into, while professionals spend just as much time figuring out their exits.

– When they have a winning position, they don’t let their emotions dictate when to close the position, which would result in small gains. They know emotions cannot be part of the decisions.

– When they enter a play, they don’t have any expectation. They understand it can go either way and that nobody can know the future.

– They have confidence in their plan, patience, and discipline.

– They are not afraid because they have developed attitudes that prevent them from getting reckless.

– They have self-monitoring skills and can continuously monitor their performance in order to improve it.

Some Truths about Trading

- The market is a huge crowd of people. Each member of the crowd tries to take money away from other members by outsmarting them. Everyone, including some of the brightest minds in the world, is against me and I am against everyone.

It’s every man for himself. The money I want to make belongs to other people who have no intention of giving it to me.

- The market is like an ocean, it moves up and down regardless of what I want. The market does not know I exist and I cannot influence it. I cannot control the market any more than a sailor can control the ocean, but I can control my own behavior.

- Trading is all about management – managing myself, my money, my attitude, and my positions. It is not about predictions, forecasts or opinions.

- There is the plain fool, who does the wrong thing at all times everywhere, but there is the Wall Street fool, who thinks he must trade all the time. No man can always have adequate reasons for buying or selling stocks daily or sufficient knowledge to make his play an intelligent play (Jesse Livermore).

- Trading without imagination is like painting by numbers – and is about as rewarding(William R. Gallacher).

- The market is not going to reward anyone for observing the obvious.

- A mistake made by many traders is that they become so involved in trying to catch the minor market swings (generating lots of commissions in the process) that they miss the major price moves.

- Advisors are only wrong when you get too many of them start thinking the same thing.

- A strategy to enter and exit trades will not help you unless you are both disciplined and organized.

This information will move a market!

02 Jun 2012

Title:

Winning Stocks Always Leave “Foot Prints”

Word Count:

282

Summary:

SIX STEPS and the IRREFUTABLE LAWS of the MARKET Every Investor and Trader MUST KNOW to Succeed

Step 1:

A move begins with the sponsors (smart traders) who have insider knowledge as it relates to a particular stock or market. This information will move a market up or down depending on the insiders’ information. These buyers are smart, very smart, and recognize trading/investment opportunities very early in the markup cycle.

Step 2:

Days, weeks, or sometimes months…

Keywords:

stocks,investing

Article Body:

SIX STEPS and the IRREFUTABLE LAWS of the MARKET Every Investor and Trader MUST KNOW to Succeed

Step 1:

A move begins with the sponsors (smart traders) who have insider knowledge as it relates to a particular stock or market. This information will move a market up or down depending on the insiders’ information. These buyers are smart, very smart, and recognize trading/investment opportunities very early in the markup cycle.

Step 2:

Days, weeks, or sometimes months after a move has started, there is a brief mention in the electronic media (radio, cable, TV) or on one of the internet chat boards that a market has moved. The public hears for the first time and begins to get interested, but does not buy.

Step 3:

A blurb of information appears in print media. The move also begins getting more exposure on blogs and internet message boards. The public starts paying a little more attention, and will buy a little bit.

Step 4:

Wall Street and LaSalle Street brokers go into full hype mode and hawk the market to their customers. The public begins buying in greater volume.

Step 5:

A full-blown front-page article appears about the particular stock or market in one of the major financial newspapers, magazines, or financial websites. This is often six months after the fact and after a market has shown its greatest appreciation. There is often heavy public buying, even a possible frenzy, as all media, brokers, and so-called “gurus” start to tout the market.

Step 6:

As step 5 gets underway, the sponsors or smart traders begin to move out of the market and take their profits off the table.

The finale: The move ends, the market falls, and investors lose money.